where are all the bank owned homes in Manatee County?

It was front page news that the number of foreclosures filings here in Manatee County has had 5687 foreclosure filings to date this year, which is an increase from last year. This is a lot of homes and as an active agent it made me wonder where are all the bank owned inventory?
There are 4696 total active residential listings as of this evening (11/22/09). 474 "normal" are pending
There are 149 active bank owned homes 123 pending
There are 920 short sales active there are 940 pending
The Statistics show two big things.
The action is happening on bank owned, and short sale homes. You can clearly see that there is almost the same amount of pending listing vs. active in the short sale/bank owned categories. The conventional sellers have only about 10 to 1 that are pending.
If there are almost 6000 homes that have entered foreclosure WHY is there less than 300 active and pending bank owned properties
Factor in that there are foreclosure filings from prior years that have not been completed. Many foreclosures I am aware had a foreclosure filing well over a year ago and have not gone to auction.
Also, some of foreclosure filings that are also homes that are currently listed as short sales.
Some of the foreclosure filings can also be filed from second position lien holder,s and homeowner associations that have a low probability of actually forcing a sale. These type of filings maybe inflating the numbers somewhat.
So there are under 2000 homes short sale homes, active and under contract. This means that there are around 4000 homeowners that are either attempting a loan modification, or have given up on either a short sale, or some type of work out solution.
I would estimate that if there are 2000 homeowners short selling, than there is at least that many attempting or considering a loan modification.
Activity in Manatee County has significantly increased in the past few months. Prices have continued to drop except in the 200,000 and under market where prices have leveled. Multiple offers are much more common for bank owned homes.
Why is there only 5% of the total inventory bank owned when there is more homes in foreclosure than all active and pending sales on our local MLS?
Two reasons
1. The slow pace of foreclosures is due to the flood of files, and the increasing willingness for lenders to agree to short sales, and loan modifications.
2, Anyone that has a bunch of inventory to sell realizes that if they flood the market it will drive down prices.
I am hopeful that the lien holders will come to realize it is better to keep homeowners that want to stay in their home if at all possible. Less inventory will create price stability.
The question remains when will all those foreclosures will come on the market? I guess it is really in the lien holder's hands.

whether you are buying or selling I am here to help. Serving Sarasota and Manatee Counties for the past 8 years with skill, knowledge, and care. Expert in short sales. If you have questions I have anwers.
Joe Murphy 941-780-3260
www.manateemoves.com
www.activerain.com/manateemoves

3 things first time buyers should know to get the 8,000 tax credit

The first time home buyer tax credit will expire on November 30. With Thanksgiving that week it might as well be a week earlier. Typical F.T.H.B. are getting financing through FHA, VA, or USDA. These type of loans will usually take 45 days to close, if there is no major issues with the borrower. So we have a month to find a home, go to contract, and close it to get the cash for the buyer. Here in Manatee county First time home buyers, and their agents are scrambling. I get a few calls a day from buyer agents asking if one of my listings would be able to close in time for the deadline.

My advice for a first time home buyer?

1. Avoid short sales, unless they are "pre-approved"- Short sales can take months to close. You do not have time for that, and betting that you found the "one" short sale that will close in time is a risky bet now. Focus on foreclosures, and regular motivated sellers ( yes, they do exist!).

2. Get your financing in order as much as possible, as early as possible.- If the deal does not close due to financing issues, or worse, is delayed for financing issues. You will be the one losing the benefit of the tax credit. Make sure you have a reputable lender, be realistic with the time frame, and be proactive to make sure they have everything needed to close the deal.

3. START SHOPPING RIGHT NOW! - Did I mention you have about a month to find, and get into contract with your next home? Also, you are not alone. There are plenty of buyers out there trying to do the same thing. The good deals are going FAST.. I wrote an offer for 5k over list price, pre-qualified buyer, quick close, etc. We were beat out. The home had gone into a bidding war. My buyer was maxed out with what he could afford, but we made the offer within 24 hours of the home getting listed.

GOOD THINGS TAKE TIME..... GREAT THINGS HAPPEN ALL AT ONCE!